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      安徽省水资源空间均衡性评价分析

      Evaluation and analysis of spatial equilibrium of water resources in Anhui Province

      • 摘要: 为分析安徽省水资源空间分布的不均衡性,利用水资源负载指数、水土资源匹配系数以及用水效益指标构造评价体系,通过集对分析方法与引力模型,耦合计算2014~2018年安徽省16个地级市的绝对联系强度值(Pi)与相对联系强度值(Ni)。结果表明:安徽省多数地市PiNi,水资源综合实力在一定程度上难以满足城市发展需求,呈现出水资源不均衡发展状态,并成为以皖南地区(黄山、宣城为主)为核心的水资源分布空间格局,其与以皖中(主要为合肥)为核心的经济分布呈现出一定差异,以及与以皖北为中心的耕地分布呈现出较大差异,因此需要制定科学、合理的水资源配置方案,以缓解区域水资源空间不均衡情况。

         

        Abstract: To analyze the imbalance in the spatial distribution of water resources in Anhui Province, an indicator system was constructed using the water resource load index, water-land resource matching coefficient, and water use efficiency index. The absolute connection strength value (Pi) and relative connection strength value (Ni) of 16 prefecture-level cities in Anhui Province from 2014 to 2018 were calculated by coupling the set pair analysis method with the gravity model. The results showed that a trend of Pi < Ni in most cities in Anhui Province, and the comprehensive strength of water resources was difficult to meet the needs of urban development to a certain extent, presenting an unbalanced development of water resources, and forming a spatial pattern of water resources distribution with southern Anhui (mainly Huangshan City and Xuancheng City) as the core. It showed a certain difference from the economic distribution centered on central Anhui (mainly Hefei City), and a relatively large difference from the cultivated land distribution centered on northern Anhui Province. Therefore, it is necessary to develop a scientific and reasonable water resources allocation plan to alleviate the spatial imbalance of regional water resources.

         

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