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      贵州省台江县暴雨灾害风险评估与区划

      Rainstorm disaster risk assessment and zoning plan in Taijiang County of Guizhou Province

      • 摘要: 为应对暴雨灾害,提高暴雨灾害防治能力,基于“致灾因子-孕灾环境-承灾体-防灾减灾能力”的灾害风险评估理论,利用层次分析法和自然断点法,结合贵州省台江县实际情况,选取了4个一级指标和17个二级指标,构建了暴雨灾害风险评估指标体系,并利用GIS技术进行了风险评估与区划。结果表明:贵州省台江县暴雨灾害风险呈现明显的空间差异,将风险划分为极高、高、中和低4个等级,其中中部台江县城为极高风险,南部南宫镇和北部施洞镇部分地区为高风险,老屯乡等部分地区为中风险,西部革一镇、台盘乡、排羊乡和东部方召镇部分地区为低风险。基于评估结果,提出了加强监测预警、完善应急响应、推进海绵城市建设等防灾减灾对策建议。研究成果可为贵州省台江县暴雨灾害防治提供参考。

         

        Abstract: To enhance preparedness for rainstorm disasters and improve prevention and mitigation capabilities, this study conducted a risk assessment and zoning plan for Taijiang County of Guizhou Province. Based on the disaster risk assessment theory of "hazard-causing factors-disaster-pregnant environment-disaster-bearing body-disaster prevention and mitigation capacity", we utilized the Analytic Hierarchy Process and Natural Breaks Method, combined with the actual conditions of Taijiang County in Guizhou Province, we established an assessment index system for rainstorm disaster risk comprising 4 first-level indicators and 17 second-level indicators, risk assessment and zoning were carried out by using GIS technology. The results revealed significant spatial differentiation in rainstorm disaster risks across Taijiang County of Guizhou Province, with risks categorized into four levels, extremely high, high, moderate, and low. The central urban area of Taijiang County was identified as an extremely high-risk zone. High-risk areas were concentrated in parts of Nangong Town in the south and Shidong Town in the north. Moderate-risk areas included sections of Laotun Township, while low-risk zones predominantly cover regions in Geyi Town, Taipan Township and Paiyang Township in the west, and Fangzhao Town in the east. Based on these findings, countermeasures were proposed including strengthening monitoring and early warning systems, improving emergency response mechanisms and promoting the construction of sponge cities. The research results can provide a reference for rainstorm disaster prevention in Taijiang County of Guizhou Province.

         

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