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      白鹤滩水电站坝区强降水特征研究

      Study on heavy precipitation characteristics in Baihetan Hydropower Station dam area

      • 摘要: 为揭示白鹤滩水电站坝区强降水时空分布特征及灾害风险差异,基于白鹤滩坝区新田站2012~2022年、马脖子站2014~2022年、荒田水厂站2015~2022年、上村梁子站2017~2020年逐小时降水数据,从雨量、雨强、频率和贡献率等方面对坝区短时强降水、暴雨以及极端降水事件进行了全面分析。结果表明:白鹤滩水电站坝区汛期降水空间分布不均,马脖子站汛期累计雨量最充沛,上村梁子站汛期累计雨量最少。坝区各站短时强降水在7月达峰值,多发生在夜间,雨量后半夜达到峰值,雨强则在傍晚前后和午夜前较大。坝区暴雨在9月最频繁,降水量亦在后半夜达到峰值,比短时强降水发生时间滞后2 h左右。极端降水方面,上村梁子站小时和日尺度各百分位极端降水阈值较低,达标强度和贡献率较高;马脖子站小时降水强度和贡献率较低,但日降水阈值和强度均较高。

         

        Abstract: To reveal the spatio-temporal distribution characteristics and disaster risk differences of heavy precipitation in the Baihetan Hydropower Station dam area, based on the hourly precipitation data of Xintian Station from 2012 to 2022, Mabozi Station from 2014 to 2022, Huangtian Water Plant Station from 2015 to 2022, and Shangcunliangzi Station from 2017 to 2020, a comprehensive analysis was conducted on the spatio-temporal distribution characteristics of short-term heavy precipitation, rainstorms and extreme precipitation events in the dam area from the aspects of precipitation amount, precipitation intensity, frequency and contribution rate. The results indicated the precipitation during the flood season in the Baihetan Dam area showed significant spatial heterogeneity. The station with the highest total precipitation was Mabozi Station, while the one with the lowest was Shangcunliangzi Station. The short-term heavy rainfall at various stations in the dam area reached its peak in July, mostly occurring at night. The rainfall reached its maximum value in the late night, while the precipitation intensity was relatively high in the evening and before midnight. Heavy rainfall in the dam area occurred most frequently in September, and the precipitation reached its peak in the late night. It lagged about 2 hours behind the occurrence time of short-term heavy precipitation. In terms of extreme precipitation, the hourly and daily percentile extreme precipitation thresholds at Shangcunliangzi Station were relatively low, with higher standard intensity and contribution rate. While at Mabozi Station, the hourly precipitation intensity and contribution rate were relatively low, but the daily precipitation threshold and intensity were both relatively high.

         

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