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      昆明市中心城区暴雨内涝风险分析

      Risk analysis of urban flood in central urban area of Kunming City

      • 摘要: 为探究高原城市昆明市中心城区暴雨内涝风险特征,采用GIS数据库与SWMM模型共同构建暴雨径流模型,模拟昆明市不同重现期下的地表径流情况,分析了研究区产流风险、总径流量、峰值流量变化情况,以及下垫面条件对地表径流的影响。结果显示:总径流量、峰值流量、径流系数、径流深度均随着降雨重现期与不透水面积比的增加而增大;各重现期降雨条件下,严重内涝危险区主要位于中部和南部,重现期5 a时,低、中低产流风险区分别占10.56%、68.83%,重现期增加到100 a时,中高、高产流风险区分别占72.49%、24.25%;随着降雨重现期增大,降雨强度和降雨量对产汇流过程的影响远大于下垫面条件的影响。应通过优化绿地布局、升级排水管网、在地势低洼处增设调蓄池等措施,降低城市内涝风险。研究成果可为昆明市内涝防治提供参考。

         

        Abstract: To investigate the risk characteristics of urban flooding in Kunming′s central urban area, a combined GIS database and SWMM model was developed to simulate surface runoff under different return periods. The study analyzed runoff risk, total runoff volume, peak flow variations, and the impact of underlying surface conditions. Results showed that total runoff, peak flow, runoff coefficient, and runoff depth increased with longer rainfall return periods and higher impermeable surface ratios. Under various return periods, severe flooding risk primarily occurs in central and southern areas. At a 5-year return period, low and low-medium risk zones accounted for 10.56% and 68.83% respectively, while medium-high and high-risk zones rise to 72.49% and 24.25% at 100-year return periods. Rainfall intensity and volume significantly influenced runoff processes compared to surface characteristics. To mitigate flooding, measures like optimizing green space layouts, upgrading drainage systems, and installing retention ponds in low-lying areas were recommended. These findings can provide references for Kunming′s prevention of flooding.

         

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