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      基于麻雀优化集成模型的TBM隧洞围岩等级预测

      Prediction of surrounding rock conditions in TBM tunnels based on sparrow search algorithm model

      • 摘要: 全断面硬岩隧道掘进机(TBM)在隧洞建设过程中常遇到软弱松散不稳定围岩条件,极易发生围岩垮塌,造成刀盘或护盾被卡事故。准确实时预测TBM掌子面围岩等级,对于及时调整掘进支护参数,保障施工安全具有重要意义。以吉林省中部城市引松供水工程为例,利用麻雀优化算法(SSA)和4种机器学习方法(RF、XGBoost、SVM、LSTM),提出了基于麻雀优化集成模型的TBM隧洞围岩等级预测方法。结果表明:① SSA能够不同程度提升机器学习模型的预测精度,经过模型性能指标对比,SSA-RF和SSA-SVM优化模型预测性能好于SSA-XGBoost和SSA-LSTM。②选择SSA-RF和SSA-SVM作为基模型并利用权重优化组合集成模型SSA-RF-SVM,经过模型性能分析,SSA-RF-SVM在测试集中性能表现最好。③综合对比上述所有建立的模型性能,围岩等级预测准确度从高到低依次为SSA-RF-SVM、SSA-RF、RF、SSA-SVM、SSA-XGBoost、SSA-LSTM、XGBoost、SVM、LSTM。

         

        Abstract: Full-face hard rock Tunnel Boring Machines (TBM) often encounter weak, loose and unstable surrounding rock conditions during tunnel construction, which will easily lead to rock collapse and cause the cutter head or shield to be stuck.Accurately and timely predicting the surrounding rock conditions at TBM face is of great significance for adjusting the excavation and support parameters in a timely manner and ensuring construction safety.This study took the Water Supply Project in the Central City of Jilin Province as an example and proposed a TBM tunnel surrounding rock grade prediction method based on the Sparrow Search Algorithm (SSA) and RF, XGBoost, SVM, LSTM four machine learning methods.The research findings indicate: SSA can improve the prediction accuracy of machine learning models to varying degrees.Through the comparison of model performance indicators, the prediction performance of SSA-RF and SSA-SVM optimization models were better than that of SSA-XGBoost and SSA-LSTM models.SSA-RF and SSA-SVM were selected as base models and combined into an integrated model SSA-RF-SVM through weight optimization.Through model performance analysis, SSA-RF-SVM performed best in the test set.Comparing the performance of all established models, the prediction accuracy for surrounding rock classification decreased in SSA-RF-SVM, SSA-RF, RF, SSA-SVM, SSA-XGBoost, SSA-LSTM, XGBoost, SVM, LSTM order.

         

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