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      基于聚类分析的闸泵实时控制规则优化方法

      Optimization Method for Real-time Control Rules of Gates and Pumps Based on Cluster Analysis

      • 摘要: 沿海城市遭受极端强降雨与外江潮汐顶托的双重压力,洪涝风险日益突出。然而传统的闸泵实时控制规则多以工程所在位置为调控参考断面,复杂河网的内部区域难以对调控迅速做出响应。为解决此问题,本文以福州市仓山中心片区为研究区,利用InfoWorks ICM构建城市水文水动力模型并进行了校验,然后提出由DBSCAN空间聚类与X-Means特征聚类构成的分层聚类框架。首先划分调控分区,再根据河道溢流断面的地表淹没特征总值自适应地识别每个分区内的关键控制断面,以新的断面为参考制定闸泵实时控制规则,最后以实测台风评估方法性能。结果显示:由分层聚类框架聚类得到三个调控分区,每个分区内聚类得到一个关键控制断面。“海葵”台风下,对比原规则,优化规则下三个关键控制断面的平均总水位分别降低了6.53%、10.66%与12.38%,水位峰值均有所削减;同时,水深高于1 m的淹没面积比例从15.25%下降至12.38%,最大淹没深度下降了0.49 m,有效提升了闸泵对区域洪涝的调控能力,为沿海城市应对极端暴雨洪涝提供了新的技术支撑。

         

        Abstract:   The coastal cities are under the double pressure of extreme heavy rainfall and the topographic obstruction caused by the tidal current of the estuary. The risk of flooding is becoming increasingly prominent. However, the traditional real-time control rules for sluice gates and pumps mostly take the location of the project as the reference section for regulation, and it is difficult for the internal areas of the complex river network to respond quickly to the regulation. To solve this problem, this paper takes the central area of Cangshan District in Fuzhou City as the research area, uses InfoWorks ICM to construct a city hydrological and hydrodynamic model and conducts verification. Then, a hierarchical clustering framework composed of DBSCAN spatial clustering and X-Means feature clustering is proposed. Firstly, the regulation zones are divided, and then the key control sections within each zone are adaptively identified based on the total value of the surface inundation characteristics of the overflow section of the river channel, and the real-time control rules for the sluice gates and pumps are formulated with the new sections as the reference. Finally, the performance of the measured typhoon assessment method is evaluated. The results show that the hierarchical clustering framework clusters into three regulation zones, and each zone clusters into one key control section. Under the "Haikui" typhoon, compared with the original rules, the average total water level of the three key control sections decreased by 6.53%, 10.66%, and 12.38% respectively, and the peak water level was reduced. Meanwhile, the proportion of the submerged area with water depth exceeding 1 meter decreased from 15.25% to 12.38%, and the maximum submerged depth decreased by 0.49 meters. It effectively improves the regulation ability of the sluice gates for regional flooding, providing new technical support for
          coastal cities to cope with extreme heavy rain and floods.

         

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